mccain_yellowThe new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll has some interesting numbers.

They show plainly that, six months out, the Democrats' best chance for taking the Senate seat will be if J.D. Hayworth beats McCain in the GOP primary.

According to the poll, McCain beats the likely Democrat, Rodney Glassman, 48 to 35, with 17 percent undecided.

Between Hayworth and Glassman, the race is a real race… 43 for Hayworth, 42 for Glassman.

There’s a four percent margin of error in the poll.

But … can Hayworth actually beat McCain? It would seem a longshot.

McCain is unquestionably a bad senator, a bad person, and has squandered his dishonest-but-effectively-created image as a moderate and maverick by pandering to the vicious Arizona right

(For details, see PHXated’s “The Case Against John McCain,” a comprehensive look back at his career.)

Unfortunately, though, none of these are actually detriments in the Republican primary in a state like Arizona.

But the new polls shows conclusively that his popularity is dropping even there.

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48 to 36 is still a good advantage for McCain, but it's four points less than he was polling a month ago.

The survey did a comprehensive look at all Arizona politicians, too.

McCain’s unfavorable numbers statewide are now about 50 percent.

He’s more unpopular than Hayworth, which has to be considered something of an achievement.

Most particularly, he has very high unfavorables among Democrats and independents … 82 percent and 60 percent, respectively.

But of course, he’s be a much more formidable opponent in November than Hayworth, a buffoon who could be made mincemeat of if Glassman—at this point still a political cipher—was up to the task.

Here are the overall numbers for Arizona politicians:


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