A new poll: Glassman can beat Hayworth
A new poll shows the obvious: That J.D. Hayworth might be easy pickings for the Democrats in November:
2010 Senate
49% McCain ( R ), 33% Glassman ( D )
42% Glassman ( D ), 39% Hayworth ( R )
Note that Hayworth has an incredibly high unfavorable rating:
Favorable / Unfavorable
Rodney Glassman: 7 / 15
J.D. Hayworth: 23 / 50
The source is Public Policy Polling, out of North Carolina. Its release on the poll stresses this:
Raleigh, N.C. – John McCain might still beat Barack Obama handily were there a redo of the 2008 election in McCain’s home state, but the senator’s constituents now view Obama’s job performance more favorably than they do that of their longtime senator. 45% of Arizona voters like the job Obama is doing, to 51% who disapprove. While that may seem bad, only 34% approve of how McCain is handling his job to 55% who do not. Republicans only barely approve, 48-39, with independents down at 28-58.
Emphasis added. Doesn’t this lend support to PHXated’s pet theory, which is that Democrats need to adopt a carom strategy for the fall, helping Hayworth beat McCain, so they’ll have an easier target in November?
Pollster.com account here. One of the commenters says that the company will release numbers on specifically the GOP primary tomorrow.



Comments
Dan Gibson Wednesday, April 28, 2010:
You're far more optimistic about Glassman and the Democratic party here as a whole than I could be. Sure, Glassman is a gimme to get Dem votes, but he has nothing going for him with anyone to the right of that. I live in Tucson and I barely know the guy, other than my general perception of the City Council's incompetence and that I think he used to own an ice rink here. I'm not willing to risk a strategy that might lead to having a nutjob birther like Hayworth in office based on data from one poll. In a state where Brewer's numbers went UP after signing one of the most controversial bills in Arizona history, I'm not confident leftish Republicans and independents won't end up pulling the trigger for Hayworth in a matchup with Glassman on election day.